Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.033860 0.039835 0.046031 0.052900 0.060266 0.067893 0.076359
2026-01-18 0.024897 0.033370 0.042699 0.053557 0.065693 0.078709 0.093599
2026-01-25 0.018976 0.028775 0.040153 0.053934 0.069829 0.087303 0.107707
2026-02-01 0.014436 0.024874 0.037644 0.053674 0.072662 0.093958 0.119223
2026-02-08 0.009993 0.020259 0.033625 0.051074 0.072316 0.096616 0.125884
2026-02-15 0.007320 0.017478 0.031499 0.050428 0.073990 0.101361 0.134710
2026-02-22 0.005618 0.015751 0.030506 0.050999 0.076968 0.107500 0.145028
2026-03-01 0.004307 0.014341 0.029756 0.051737 0.080039 0.113661 0.155297
2026-03-08 0.003463 0.013535 0.029743 0.053354 0.084135 0.120994 0.166899
2026-03-15 0.002600 0.012452 0.029196 0.054165 0.087152 0.126983 0.176876
2026-03-22 0.002486 0.012899 0.030957 0.058111 0.094148 0.137786 0.192556
2026-03-29 0.001542 0.011155 0.029165 0.057061 0.094679 0.140677 0.198795
2026-04-05 0.001048 0.010333 0.028855 0.058185 0.098191 0.147445 0.209967
2026-04-12 0.000589 0.009279 0.028060 0.058582 0.100758 0.153081 0.219837
2026-04-19 0.000273 0.008306 0.027281 0.058930 0.103214 0.158551 0.229492
2026-04-26 0.000065 0.007215 0.026138 0.058650 0.104774 0.162862 0.237709
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005488 0.023489 0.055924 0.102920 0.162794 0.240522
2026-05-10 NaN 0.004558 0.022243 0.055247 0.103775 0.166093 0.247400
2026-05-17 NaN 0.004059 0.021835 0.055846 0.106358 0.171566 0.256929
2026-05-24 NaN 0.003649 0.021558 0.056619 0.109162 0.177311 0.266782
2026-05-31 NaN 0.003486 0.021851 0.058313 0.113248 0.184695 0.278659
2026-06-07 NaN 0.003148 0.021647 0.059162 0.116133 0.190529 0.288614
2026-06-14 NaN 0.003545 0.023399 0.063290 0.123661 0.202359 0.306004